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greygoo222yesterday at 9:45 PM2 repliesview on HN

This mostly can't explain the fact that mortality is also rising in under 50s. It is true mortality is rising less than incident, and that a small proportion instances of mortality could be deaths related to reasonable risks taken on from treatment side effects (to make up numbers, it makes sense to take a 5% chance of dying from treatment this year over a 80% chance of dying from cancer in 5 years), but this is probably not the whole effect. Something is causing more CRC in people under 50.


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pfannkuchenyesterday at 10:35 PM

Does treatment ever speed up death? Given that chemo is super hard on the body I imagine it could? That might just account for your use of “mostly”, though.

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kazinatoryesterday at 10:13 PM

No, it can't explain that; but the rise is very small. On the per 100,000 mortality graphs divided into the age cohorts, the under fifty mortality is almost a flat line. There is something there, but it doesn't seem like a huge alarm.