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nebula8804today at 3:13 AM1 replyview on HN

Do you think the housing market can crash on its own?

Here is my crazy theory: After only one year of the second Trump admin, the US now seems to have damaged one of its greatest assets: namely attracting the cream of the crop. One second order effect of this is now we are entering population decline. If it becomes terminal, who is going to take out a 30 years mortgage on the overpriced houses? As boomers die off, we might see a collapse. There might be a scenario where a future Trump like character fumbles the bailout(or refuses to do it) and the housing market finally is allowed to burst.


Replies

bombcartoday at 5:41 AM

The housing market doesn't have to burst - it just has to stop going up faster than inflation.

Ten years of stagnating house prices would bring them back into the affordability range.