exponential vs S-curve, it's not so much about the pace as to where the plateau is. If it goes very fast but plateau at 10% then it's still at generalist at toddler level with very niche expertise in some areas but then point is that even with drastically more resources it's stuck there. Meanwhile if the plateau is at 80% but a slower pace then it's a totally different situation. Nobody knows but people selling the technology are claiming it's both going fast and with a high plateau.