logoalt Hacker News

7777777philtoday at 3:09 PM5 repliesview on HN

77 suspicious positions across 60 wallets, 13 brand-new accounts appearing 40 hours before the browser launch. First confirmed case of a major tech company firing over prediction market trades.

I wrote about why prediction markets have a structural insider trading problem that nobody's solved yet: https://philippdubach.com/posts/the-absolute-insider-mess-of...


Replies

gtoweytoday at 3:23 PM

Insider trading is the raison d'etre of these products.

show 4 replies
raincoletoday at 6:10 PM

It's interesting that the both replies under this comment are saying exact same thing, with the exact same term ("raison d'etre"... how often do you hear two random people think of this phrase at the same time?).

It might be nothing, but it'd be funny if karma farming bots are doing some 'reply frontrunning' over the internet.

show 2 replies
throwaway5752today at 3:23 PM

Prediction markets exist to bypass gambling restrictions and monetize insider trading. It isn't a problem, it is their raison d'etre.

show 4 replies
ohyoutraveltoday at 3:29 PM

Archived version: https://archive.ph/XWrTA