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bluegattytoday at 4:50 AM1 replyview on HN

"the U.S. is looking for a quick win if it can have it."

?? What is a 'quick win' ??

Serious question.

- Ayatollah dead, next Ayatollah?

- 10 years of civil war?

- Installation of US-backed Shah, with no real power base, which will lead to ongoing insurrection, which is what led to ... Islamic Revolution ... because we already tried that?

- Faux acquiescence at the negotiating table ... while they dig their HQs further under ground?

What else?

A quick win is possible, but one of the most narrow scenarios.

It looks at the moment like everyone is losing, some worse than others.


Replies

JumpCrisscrosstoday at 7:33 AM

> What is a 'quick win' ?

An Iranian Delcy Rodriguez. Someone who waives a white flag, accepts Trump's terms and then gets left alone for the most part.

Even if it's a bluff to buy time to rebuild, I'm not seeing the strategic rationale for refusing to negotiate. (I do see Iran's leaders being internally constrained to keep fighting. We saw a similar dynamic in Japan during WWII.)

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