I don't think there's been much of an impact, really. Those who know how to use AI just got tangentially more productive (because why would you reveal your fake 10x productivity boost so your boss hands you 10x more tasks to finish?), and those w/o AI knowledge stayed the way they were.
The real impact is for indie-devs or freelancers but that usually doesn't account for much of the GDP.
If everyone was 10x productive then we would have had native Claude Code app for each platform.
Instead they are using Electron and calling it a day. Very ironic isn't it? If AI is so good then why don't we get native software from Anthropic?
I'd be curious to see the shift in numbers since December, 2025.
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Work is freezing hiring and upping spending on tokens for everyone.
Don't know if this is effective and I don't think management knows either, but it's what they're doing