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seanmcdirmidyesterday at 7:25 AM1 replyview on HN

China looks like the good guy now, but if Xi decided to “reassert control” over Taiwan, it would quickly become an international pariah and everyone would forget about Trump immediately, the country would immediately be isolated from everyone other than their closest (geographically speaking) allies. Is China ready to do that? Not today, maybe in a decade or two (when they’ve replaced the USA as the top economic/military power, there won’t be severe consequences). Xi is smart enough to wait, taking Taiwan now wins them nothing and loses them everything.


Replies

gzreadyesterday at 1:36 PM

We'd just cut off all of our goods manufacturing and leave the shelves empty? I don't think it's likely.

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