logoalt Hacker News

MadxX79yesterday at 8:20 PM1 replyview on HN

Isn't it just that he left way before gpt-5, then? At that point a sufficiently naive person could have believed that scaling was going to lead to AGI, but that sort of optimism died after he was already an outsider.


Replies

dwohnitmoktoday at 12:04 AM

Kokotajlo still believes we get AGI in the next few years. These are his most updated numbers at the moment: https://www.aifuturesmodel.com/