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xigoitoday at 1:49 PM1 replyview on HN

Assuming that the predictor is always right, there are only two possible scenarios:

• You take one box and get $1000000

• You take two boxes and get $1000

The choice seems quite clear to me.


Replies

GaelFGtoday at 5:00 PM

Not from the article : Before you walk in, a supercomputer predicted which choice you'd make, and put $1000000 in the opaque box if it predicted you'd take just the one, or $0 if it predicted you'd take both.

So the amount of money in the black box don't change whatever you REALLY pick. Either the predicator would have guessed you'd pick both and there is 0$ in black box, in that case you have interest to take both boxes and win $1000 which is better than zero.

Or it predicted you would only take the black box, put $1000000 in it and then again you win more by taking the two boxes.