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taericyesterday at 5:13 PM1 replyview on HN

It has ticked up 1-2 per 100k over the past few decades for that group. Zoom the chart out, and you would probably be excused for assuming it is flat with some noise.

By all means, we should study this more. But the way folks are talking about this is a touch nuts.


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vharuckyesterday at 7:01 PM

It went up by 4 per 100k. And, since it was at 6 in 2000, that's a large increase.

>Zoom the chart out, and you would probably be excused for assuming it is flat with some noise.

That's true of all cancers, if not all statistics.

The concern here is two-fold:

(1) The people under 50 now will be over 50 in a decade or so. We can already see that the trend of colorectal cancer among those aged 50 to 64 was decreasing until 2012, but had since gone up. This will likely get worse. Early onset colorectal cancer is a canary in the coalmine.

(2) Unless this trend is caused by a specific chemical exposure or a purely dietary reason, the behavior/lifestyle/health conditions behind it are likely to lead to other types of cancers. Obesity and lack of exercise have been linked to a lot of cancers. I'm worried about losing progress across the board when these young people reach their 60s.

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