> For most cases we don't need nearly that comprehensive verification. This is expecting more off AI written code than we ever bother to subject most human written code to.

True.

> There's a vast chasm there we only need to even slightly start to bridge to get to far higher confidence levels than the typical human dev team achieves.

The word "slightly" is doing a lot of work here to the point of making it impossible to estimate. For example, the complexity classes P and NP are only slightly apart, and yet that's where a very practical barrier between feasibility and infeasibility lies. I don't doubt that one day AI may be able to write programs as well as humans, although nobody can estimate how soon that day will come, but nobody knows how wide the gap between that and "far higher confidence" is. Maybe there are fundamental computational complexity barriers in that gap that no amount of intelligence can cross, and maybe there aren't. Nobody knows yet.

What we do know is that anything humans do is possible - after all, we're doing it - and many things we need and humans can't do (including predicting nonlinear systems like the behavious of economy) no machine can do drastically better because of complexity limitations.