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JumpCrisscrosstoday at 12:32 AM1 replyview on HN

> if we were doing a good job gathering data that these structural biases could be compensated for with more conservative initial numbers

There is no more conservative. The data will bias in the direction of trend. The point of the data are, in part, to measure that trend. Fucking with it to make it politically correct to the statistically illiterate is precisely the sort of degradation of data we’re worried about.

(They’re also useless as a time series if the methodology changes quarter to quarter. That’s the job of analysis. Not the data.)


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svnttoday at 1:23 AM

What you wrote suggests the data will bias predictably, which matches my understanding.

Reporting biased data as the default because the bias compensation is already built into the audience seems like a weak argument for not improving.

They can provide for the continuation of data visibility/granularity by releasing the prior numbers as previously calculated and at the same time changing the calculation of the headline number to be better compensated.

The simpler argument is that changing it at all will result in a negative step change in the reporting that no one wants to take accountability for.

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