They're good enough already.
The moat is only
a) post-training magic for the elusive UX "vibes"
b) stickiness of the Claude UI's.
The first part will be eventually (give it a couple years) solved by a LoRA marketplace.
The second is not relevant because existing UI's are very sticky already and Claude won't be able to overcome decades of inertia anyways.
That and the price of hardware