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epolanskitoday at 12:23 PM4 repliesview on HN

Prediction markets need to be banned globally ASAP, but it would've helped the article to bring proof of:

- the emails

- the whatsapp messages

- the discord messages

- the X messages

Mind you, I'm not stating the journalist is lying or overblowing, in fact I suspect this is all more widespread than we think, but it's odd that the journalist puts emphasis on the sources of his information in the case of the missile, yet it's not about his direct threats, some of those public like X replies.


Replies

pjc50today at 12:25 PM

Journalists do not normally work like that. That might be how beefs are fought on social media, but of course screenshots are easy to fake anyway.

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echoangletoday at 12:41 PM

Quoting vs providing screenshots makes exactly 0 difference regarding level of proof. Faking an email or WhatsApp message is about 2 minutes of work.

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colesantiagotoday at 12:24 PM

Why does everything you don't like need to be banned?

Downvoters:

I really doubt that you actually successfully 100% banned anything in the history of technology.

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Hammershafttoday at 1:38 PM

I disagree.

Prediction markets have value for people as a source of reliable information because they tend to be very accurate compared to any other human mechanism for creating forecasts.

https://marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevolution/2025/10/pr...

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