alt Hacker NewsThe source is a company that works with Polymarket and sells Polymarket data (as well as Kalshi and other gambling platforms).
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HDThoreaun • yesterday at 6:47 PM
Marginal revolution has been talking up prediction markets since before they existed. In fact polymarket probably was created after its founder read Cowen's thoughts on prediction markets.
The findings are consistent with academic research that these markets are well calibrated.