It's funny talking about non software stuff on HN. I'm sure there's hundreds of papers on simulations and expert analysis of this.
Then please link the best ones? Or write some of your high-level thoughts about it.
You don't need to be an expert to be curious. Many here would surely like to know more. That's why non-IT stories are upvoted in the first place.
Surely in a minority, but I do see posts from people on HN that are scientists, researchers, even mechanics and such. We definitely get a lot of speculation, but I've learned never to underestimate the level of expertise of people in our community.