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SocialGradientstoday at 4:03 AM1 replyview on HN

Not to mention, Austin could just make it cheaper to build to offset lower sell prices. Gruber et al estimate permits are 50% of an LA home's price. Fix permitting and rent goes down 50% by your assumptions that developers build until margins are 0.

Assume austin is only half as bad as LA, a 25% rent decrease would be incredible

Gruber's paper: https://evansoltas.com/papers/Permitting_SoltasGruber2026.pd...


Replies

estearumtoday at 11:10 AM

> Gruber et al estimate permits are 50% of an LA home's price

That is not what Gruber shows. The 50% figure is that there's a permit adds a 50% premium on the value of raw land. In other words, the permit cost is "only" 33% of the cost of the permitted raw land. That's significant and a big problem, but very very far from "50% of on LA home's price."

But yeah structurally the solution is indeed to reduce the cost of production. Which if your 50% figure was correct, would be huge. But it's not correct.