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smcintoday at 5:04 AM1 replyview on HN

Polymarket (for whatever it's worth) currently has OpenAI IPO at only 4% by end June and 40% by end December (and that's even for a small-float IPO as has become common).

https://polymarket.com/event/openai-ipo-by


Replies

throwaway27448today at 7:39 AM

What is this supposed to imply? You can't reasonably draw any conclusion from betting without understanding who is betting and why.

Well, I suppose you can draw the conclusion that "polymarket customers are interested in this topic"

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