alt Hacker NewsNone of those examples are useful.
1. 2016 was years after Bitcoin was developed. So you could still make 200x returns without being early adopter.
2. Is this even true? I'd bet scraping experts or people who can fine tune LLMs have easier time finding a job than classical ML academics.
3. Candy Crash was released when iPhone was on its 5th iteration.
If anything, you just added to OPs points. Being an early adopter gives limited advantage.
to be fair a friend of mine made one of the first flashlight apps on iOs and made a tidy sum out of it.
I think the question really is about how well you hit your timings. You can have held bitcoin but sold it went it hit $5k or less. You can have a technical advantage in a given field but somehow waste it (dead startup, serious illness) and lose your timing. Nobody knows what the right timings are, but I think the OP is pushing for a more consistent risk investment strategy and setting up the timings to raise the floor significantly at the cost of losing some of the best possible ceilings.