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JumpCrisscrosstoday at 1:46 AM1 replyview on HN

You’re misreading my statement. Educated Iranians are plentiful. They’re the ones international people are familiar with. They almost universally hate the IRGC because they see it destroying their country. For every educated Iranian, however, they have tens of their equivalent of Koran thumpers. And those people will support the IRGC’s economic consolidation among their billionaire elite.

> their resolve to get that weapon will be ten fold what it was three weeks ago

They’ll probably get it. I’m almost convinced we’ll see the Middle East or Europe get nuked in our lifetime. Tehran hits Tel Aviv; the latter hits every major city or something.


Replies

jacquesmtoday at 1:51 AM

You won't meet many IRGC supporters outside of Iran, that's the whole reason they are not in Iran in the first place. Just the same with Cubans outside of Cuba. Most Iranians (or people that still identify as Iranians in exile) have fled the regime and/or were connected to the regime of the Shah (and often through their parents, not they themselves).

> I’m almost convinced we’ll see the Middle East or Europe get nuked in our lifetime.

There is a good chance of that, and the last 3 weeks have made it much more likely that that will happen.

> Tehran hits Tel Aviv; the latter hits every major city or something.

That is possible. There are multiple possible nuclear flashpoints, Russia vs one of their neighbors, Pakistan vs India or the other way around, Israel vs Iran or the other way around, the USA because Trump has a bad hairday against pick-your-target.

Of all the parties that have nukes I figure China, France and the UK are the most stable.