alt Hacker NewsIm thinking mainly if they manage to get some kind of regulations that make open source impractical for commercial use, or hardware gets too expensive for small hobbyists and bootstrapped startups, or if the large data center models wildly out class open source models. I love using open source models but I can't do what I can do with 1m context opus, and that gap could get worse? Or maybe not, it could close, I don't know for sure, and how long will Chinese companies keep giving out their open source models? Lots of unknowns.
I know someone who just spent 10 days of GPU time on a RTX 3060 to build a DSLM [0] which outperforms existing, VC backed (including from Sam himself), frontier model wrappers that runs on sub 500 dollar consumer hardware which provides 100% accurate work product, which those frontier model wrappers cannot do. The fact that a two man team in a backwater flyover town speaks to how out of the badly out of the bag the tech is. Where the money is going to be isn't based off of building the biggest models possible with all of the data, its going to be about building models which specifically solve problems and can run affordably within enterprise environments by building to proprietary data since thats the differentiator for most businesses. Anthropic/OAI just do not have the business model to support this mode of model development to customers who will reliably pay.
[0] https://www.gartner.com/en/articles/domain-specific-language...