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storustoday at 4:47 AM17 repliesview on HN

AI is a remixer; it remixes all known ideas together. It won't come up with new ideas though; the LLMs just predict the most likely next token based on the context. That means the group of characters it outputs must have been quite common in the past. It won't add a new group of characters it has never seen before on its own.


Replies

qnleightoday at 4:58 AM

But human researchers are also remixers. Copying something I commented below:

> Speaking as a researcher, the line between new ideas and existing knowledge is very blurry and maybe doesn't even exist. The vast majority of research papers get new results by combining existing ideas in novel ways. This process can lead to genuinely new ideas, because the results of a good project teach you unexpected things.

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maxrmktoday at 4:53 AM

I don't think this is a correct explanation of how things work these days. RL has really changed things.

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zingartoday at 7:34 AM

Turning a hard problem into a series of problems we know how to solve is a huge part of problem solving and absolutely does result in novel research findings all the time.

Standard problem*5 + standard solutions + standard techniques for decomposing hard problems = new hard problem solved

There is so much left in the world that hasn’t had anyone apply this approach purely because no research programme has decides that it’s worth their attention.

If you want to shift the bar for “original” beyond problems that can be abstracted into other problems then you’re expecting AI to do more than human researchers do.

qq66today at 5:17 AM

I entered the prompt:

> Write me a stanza in the style of "The Raven" about Dick Cheney on a first date with Queen Elizabeth I facilitated by a Time Travel Machine invented by Lin-Manuel Miranda

It outputted a group of characters that I can virtually guarantee you it has never seen before on its own

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pastel8739today at 5:10 AM

Here’s a simple prompt you can try to prove that this is false:

  Please reproduce this string:
  c62b64d6-8f1c-4e20-9105-55636998a458
This is a fresh UUIDv4 I just generated, it has not been seen before. And yet it will output it.
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rishotoday at 5:03 AM

remixing ideas that already exist is a major part of where innovation and breakthroughs come from. if you look at bitcoin as an example, hashes (and hashcash) and digital signatures existed for decades before bitcoin was invented. the cypherpunks also spent decades trying to create a decentralized digital currency to the point where many of them gave up and moved on. eventually one person just took all of the pieces that already existed and put them together in the correct way. i dont see any reason why a sufficiently capable llm couldn't do this kind of innovation.

erutoday at 5:33 AM

No. That's wrong. LLMs don't output the highest probability taken: they do a random sampling.

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smokeltoday at 7:52 AM

We need a website with refutations that one can easily link to. This interpretations of LLMs is outdated and unproductive.

kleene_optoday at 7:05 AM

The ability for some people to perpetually move the goalpost will never cease to amaze me.

I guess that's one way to tell us apart from AIs.

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locknitpickertoday at 6:41 AM

> AI is a remixer; it remixes all known ideas together.

I've heard this tired old take before. It's the same type of simplistic opinion such as "AI can't write a symphony". It is a logical fallacy that relies on moving goalposts to impossible positions that they even lose perspective of what your average and even extremely talented individual can do.

In this case you are faced with a proof that most members of the field would be extremely proud of achieving, and for most would even be their crowning achievement. But here you are, downplaying and dismissing the feat. Perhaps you lost perspective of what science is,and how it boils down to two simple things: gather objective observations, and draw verifiable conclusions from them. This means all science does is remix ideas. Old ideas, new ideas, it doesn't really matter. That's what they do. So why do people win a prize when they do it, but when a computer does the same it's role is downplayed as a glorified card shuffler?

razorbeamztoday at 5:23 AM

Yes, ChatGPT and friends are essentially the same thing as the predictive text keyboard on your phone, but scaled up and trained on more data.

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timschmidttoday at 5:07 AM

Obligatory Everything is a Remix: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nJPERZDfyWc

altmanaltmantoday at 5:02 AM

Yeah but you're thinking of AI as like a person in a lab doing creative stuff. It is used by scientists/researchers as a tool *because* it is a good remixer.

Nobody is saying this means AI is superintelligence or largely creative but rather very smart people can use AI to do interesting things that are objectively useful. And that is cool in its own way.

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sneaktoday at 5:01 AM

> That means the group of characters it outputs must have been quite common in the past. It won't add a new group of characters it has never seen before on its own.

This is false.

Jarwaintoday at 4:58 AM

I mean it's not going to invent new words no, but it can figure out new sentences or paragraphs, even ones it hasn't seen before, if it's highly likely based on its training and context. Those new sentences and paragraphs may describe new ideas, though!

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nimchimpskytoday at 6:32 AM

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