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datsci_est_2015last Tuesday at 2:01 PM1 replyview on HN

Hard to make a more substantive response when the OP’s entire comment was a one-sentence logical fallacy. I’m not cherry-picking here.

> In this case, both you and the other are speculating about the near future of a thing, neither of you knows.

One of us is making a much grander claim than the other:

  - LLMs have limitless potential for growth; because they are not capable of something today does not mean they won’t be capable of it tomorrow
  - LLMs have fundamental limitations due to their underlying architecture and therefore are not limitless in capability

Replies

fenomaslast Tuesday at 3:14 PM

The post you replied to was:

> We went from 2 + 7 = 11 to "solved a frontier math problem" in 3 years, yet people don't think this will improve?

All that says is that the speaker thinks models will improve past where they are today. Not that it's a logical certainty (the first thing you jumped on them for), and certainly not anything about "limitless potential for growth" (which nobody even mentioned). With replies like this, invoking fallacies and attacking claims nobody made, you're adding a lot of heat and very little light here (and a few other threads on the page).

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