Couldn’t we just… wait to see what FAA says before coming up with our own (entirely speculative) theories?
Can we trust the FAA's conclusion?
Its previous head had a term that didn't expire until 2028 but he resigned after pressure from Elon Musk (who didn't like that he got fined), now a Trump-friendly head has been installed. What, realistically, would be the consequences if he lied? Likely none. Government officials lying on record is an every day occurrence these days.
NTSB is the relevant institution, not FAA.