> I don't understand what this article has to do with Hacker News.

Taiwan has roughly 10 days left of gas supply.

Oil and gas are not only used for energy, but are the primary component of many, many materials and chemicals.

Some of the oil/gas plants that were hit will take months to fix. Pipelines have stopped.

We have a huge risk of a global supply chain destabilization for any sector. Think what happened with chip supply with covid, and make it much worse since the manufacturers never did stop during covid, while there is a risk they will have to stop now.

Not all machines and production can be stopped and started immediately, so even a short interruption can have lasting and cascading consequences.

Covid thought us that the world relies too much on just-in-time production, and we lack buffers in many, many fields. This has likely not changed.

> Right off the bat this guy is wrong. Nobody in their right mind would bet that the regime would collapse swiftly.

That "nobody in their right mind" would bet this does not, in fact, contradict his assertion that somebody did!

> I don't understand what this article has to do with Hacker News.

The continuing slow collapse of the United States is extremely relevant to all things technology and business. The source of all our funding may be cut off. It's important to monitor what's going on there.

Right off the bat your response raises questions because if the US leadership knew from day one this was a protracted fight then they stand having made entirely contradictory statements regarding their intent and expectations in that regard.

I always wondered what alternative reality are people supporting the administration are living in and this right here is the answer. As someone put it, Americans love to fool themselves in believing they are the ones 'winning' because they killed more people even if it means completely failing at the original objective.

I stll dont understand what you are doing 10000 miles away from the presumed borders of your country, and even more why on earth you think you have the right to dictate to 90 million people (let aside the rest of the world) how to govetn themselves.

I suppose it is some right given to you from above, now where have I seen this before..

> I don't understand what this article has to do with Hacker News.

Judging by your comment history it seems to be the majority of what you discuss. Maybe you're not the best judge of what HN finds interesting or salient.

> The US and Israel have been pummeling them continuously, and they're not done

Is this the winning condition? Killing Iranians, all else be damned?