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apt-apt-apt-aptyesterday at 8:38 PM2 repliesview on HN

If you wager in a prediction market, isn't it expected that there will be some insider trading or thrown results? Because there are clearly people who know when and where bombs will land, and financial incentive to throw results.

Thus it makes sense to not participate at all, unless YOU are the one doing the cheating.


Replies

Gigachadyesterday at 8:54 PM

Prediction markets are just inside traders profiting off gambling addicts. If you are not an inside trader, you're the loser paying out.

show 3 replies
bsderyesterday at 10:09 PM

> Thus it makes sense to not participate at all, unless YOU are the one doing the cheating.

Um, exactly?

You don't have a legal system to hold the companies accountable for any payout. You don't have published odds with a regulator ensuring those odds are enforced. You have zero transparency whatsoever. You have systems where if you start winning, they will effectively cut you off.

Everything about online betting screams "SCAM!" from the rooftops. Everything about online betting has always screamed "SCAM!" from the rooftops.

What part of this aren't people getting? The house always wins.