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jmyeettoday at 1:05 AM2 repliesview on HN

Ukraine is completely dependent on arms from the US and Europe to sustain the war effort. Ukraine is running out of men to serve in the Army. Ukraine has no path to reclaim the territory it's lost.

I'm not making a judgment about whether or not this is right. This is just a sober analysis of the situation. And that is that the war is stalemated and the only way this gets resolved is to declare peace at the current borders. This grand misadventure by the US and Israel in Iran just made that more likely.


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onlypassingthrutoday at 1:57 AM

>Ukraine is running out of men to serve in the Army.

Ukraine has made some remarkable achievements lately in doing more with less while Russia seems to be perfecting how to do less with more.

obliotoday at 1:42 AM

Your sober analysis of the situation overlooks what many respectable analysts are saying.

Ukraine has become probably the de facto #1 drone based military in the world right now.

It's made the first production use drone type that uses practically 0 Chinese manufactured components. It's making more types that use off the shelf components but are otherwise 100% Ukrainian made. Its drone types are getting more and more sophisticated and larger, with the biggest having a 3000km, 1 ton payload. That's besides the ground or sea drones.

Watch the video I linked (and several more from the same channel if you have time).

Also Russia's army is being attrited faster than reconstituted, at the moment. That's a long way to say that the Russian army in Ukraine is shrinking.

Ukraine is dependent on European finances. And the EU has guaranteed funding for at least 2 more years. The US isn't helping with any equipment, weapons. Every US weapons Ukraine uses is paid for, by Ukraine and its allies.

The real danger is if Europe flinches, which would be a monumentally bad decision as Ukraine is finally winning the war of attrition.

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