alt Hacker NewsWow thought the bar for probable cause for an arrest warrant would be much higher. Especially to drag soneone from another state.
Wow thought the bar for probable cause for an arrest warrant would be much higher. Especially to drag soneone from another state.
It’s a classic example of the base rate fallacy. The judge sees that a system with a seemingly high accuracy rate (like 99.999% accurate) has flagged a person, and they assume that means the person is highly likely to be guilty.
However, the system uses a dragnet approach, and is checking against millions of people. If you are checking 300 million people, that 99.999% accuracy check is going to find 3,000 people, and AT LEAST 99.96% of those people are going to be innocent.
This is why we can’t have wide, automated surveillance.