logoalt Hacker News

Aperockylast Monday at 1:15 PM4 repliesview on HN

Demand of tokens is absolutely skyrocketing.

And unlike the traditional "this will replace humans right away", I think what this introduce is a lot of incentive to spread those token in places where there was never any incentive to hire a software engineer for previously. In turn, that will drive a lot of business activity in those area that will potentially fail given the current quality of the output.

This feels like a boom before bust scenario, and I'm not even sure if it will bust.


Replies

skeeter2020last Monday at 2:05 PM

Maybe we need to focus on a better definition of "bust" but we will surely see something along the lines of the hype-cycle graph in AI; what technology has not fallen into the trough before (best case) reaching a more steady-state of use and growth?

show 2 replies
WarmWashlast Monday at 1:45 PM

>potentially fail given the current quality of the output.

The question is how big the fail is if you measure it in 3 month increments going back to late 2022.

show 1 reply
hirako2000last Monday at 1:34 PM

Tulips sales also skyrocketed.

Seriously, what value are tokens providing other than justifying layoffs. Concretely. Today. Not in the speculating scenario that cardiologist could be replaced with models.

We see this new trend of agentic coding, again a promise software will be written that way going forward, despite the number of fiasco already experienced when trusting a model turned bad. The use case may provide value, but right now all it does is fullfil the push for token consumption all these AI leaders are advocating for.

show 10 replies
gdillayesterday at 5:08 PM

the busting will come from the token consumers. so many disasters waiting to happen.