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throwawayffffastoday at 12:17 AM4 repliesview on HN

The position of the article seems to me to be it 'won't' because it can't. And that is an accurate assessment.

It would take much more than the forces in the region, to secure the "strait". To actually secure the strait, you have to secure the entire Persian Gulf. It doesn't matter if tankers can pass through the strait only to be blown up just of Qatar. At it's widest the Gulf is about 360 kilometers, well within the range of most drones, aerial, surface and underwater. So they would have to protect every ship in the gulf, intercept all the drones all the time, or secure the entire coastline. It's simply a task air-power and naval power can't perform. Not without major casualties and without attacks going through.

The US navies ships are good for real wars, but for casualties to be accepted, there has to be a real purpose. Escorting a bunch of privately owned oil tankers to bring down the price of gas does not really cut it.


Replies

jacquesmtoday at 1:23 AM

> The US navies ships are good for real wars

This is a real war.

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steve-atx-7600today at 3:34 AM

Right and also mines that could be (maybe have already been) dropped off by small craft.

appreciatorBustoday at 12:33 AM

> there has to be a real purpose. Escorting a bunch of privately owned oil tankers to bring down the price of gas does not really cut it.

While I agree with you in principle, if I have learned anything about politics it is that under whatever political system you care to invent, the people will definitely demand war and a navy to escort private oil tankers if it means they get to drive for $0.01 less per gallon.

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