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Mistletoetoday at 5:03 PM5 repliesview on HN

Has there ever been a period o time where people saw a bubble coming and that we were in one, but it just inexorably refused to pop/drug out this long? This isn’t a rhetorical question, I’m wondering how this period compares to other irrational periods of the economy like railroad fever etc.


Replies

neadentoday at 5:57 PM

Not at all, there is a famous saying (often attributed to Keynes but as far as I can tell he never said) “Markets can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent.”

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cmiles8today at 5:05 PM

It’s not been that long really. The dot com bubble was called a bubble for a while before it finally imploded. And just like now folks were in massive denial that it was a bubble.

One of the challenges here is that a lot of folks simply weren’t around then and haven’t seen what happens when everything implodes overnight. Those that have experienced it know what that looks like and know it will happen again.

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ceejayoztoday at 5:57 PM

NFTs lasted a lot longer than they should have.

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banannaisetoday at 5:11 PM

Bubbles don't pop overnight. In the aftermath of any collapse, you can generally see a pretty clear pattern of red flags (and attempts to minimize them or cover them up). Some parties notice earlier than others, but the realization is generally a much more gradual process than the collapse.

simianwordstoday at 6:03 PM

The bubble bursting has almost become eschatological for deniers. Keep praying that it will happen. It won't.

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