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cjtoday at 5:16 PM3 repliesview on HN

For a company bringing a new technology from zero to mainstream, I think it's pretty normal that there will be a lot of failed attempts at productization.

The thing that isn't normal is the degree of experimentation relative to company valuation. Normally once a company reaches $700 B+ valuation, they've figured out their product and monetization strategy. ChatGPT is clearly still iterating heavily on that - not normal for a company that size.


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mandeviltoday at 6:13 PM

And not normal for a company that has been at it this long.

The Apple II went on sale on June 10th, 1977. Visicalc went on sale October 17th, 1979- 860 days separate the two. ChatGPT was opened to the public on November 30th, 2022, which was 1219 days ago- almost 50% more time has elapsed than between the Apple II and Visicalc.

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gbibastoday at 8:41 PM

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ai-xtoday at 7:12 PM

Which is a good thing. Elon has showed the world, the only thing that limits the upper bound is bureaucracy, extreme risk-averse and no culture for experimenting.

More and more companies will start operating on the correct reward/risk curve or else getting crushed by firms who do. OpenAI has forced Google, Apple, Meta out of their comfort zone because they know OpenAI will eat their lunch

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