alt Hacker NewsMost of the world is below replacement rate (~2.1 TFR), the rest will get there in a decade or two. Educated, empowered women delay having children, have less children, or no children. Holds across both developed and developing countries.
https://www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/2025/08/15/5-facts-a...
https://www.sas.upenn.edu/~jesusfv/Slides_London.pdf
https://www.visualcapitalist.com/cp/mapped-countries-by-fert...
Replies
ericd • today at 3:12 AM
Right, it looks pretty catastrophic for some areas (eg South Korea) if it doesn’t stabilize.
But I’m also skeptical of anything that extrapolates anything related to human behavior out 75 years.
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The world, yes, but specific niches no. Look at the Mormons, or Nigeria, or Somalis in America at 3x the US birthrate.