logoalt Hacker News

oa335yesterday at 2:32 AM2 repliesview on HN

> Freedom of navigation is a core global principal and Iran has no legitimate right to stop other countries from trade.

The US is stopping other countries from trading with Cuba and Iran. The US doesn’t have the “right” to do that, but it doesn’t need the “right”. It only needs power.

Iran has power over the Hormuz and is exerting it for what it deems is in its interest.

> Gulf States themselves will go to war over it

Maybe? But I doubt it - $1 per barrel amounts to like 1-2% of the price of oil. They may not like it but it’s not going to affect their bottom line nearly as much as closing the strait for 1 week will. A war with Iran would mean utter destruction of all oil infrastructure in the region, so probably better to pay 2% to avoid that.


Replies

ericmayyesterday at 2:40 AM

If you want to argue from a power prospective then the US and Israel can just do whatever they want too and any moralistic argument seems easy to shelve. It cuts both ways.

The Gulf States aren’t going to pay a tax to Iran. It’s a matter of principle - can’t live as a hostage and this is the weakest that the Iranian regime has been in quite some time. Better to keep the straight closed and make it painful for everyone else too.

show 2 replies
kbutleryesterday at 2:46 AM

Closing the strait for 1 week is 1.9% of annual traffic if equally distributed, so it is very similar.

show 1 reply