Probably never. There are a couple reasons:
1. We pay for saas, so we don't have to manage it. If you vibe-code or use these AI things, then you are managing it yourself.
2. Most Saas is like $20-$100/month/person for most Saas. For a software engineer, that maybe <1h of pay.
3. Most Saas require some sort of human in the loop to check for quality (at least sampling). No users would want to do that.
Number 2 is the biggest reason. It's $20 a month.... I'm not gonna replace that with anything.
Writing this message already costs more than $20 of my time.
I predict that the market will get bigger because people are more prone to automate the long-tail/last-mile stuff since they are able to
Interesting, so you're saying Anthropic/Openai/etc will get a general solution that won't be hands off. The moat for other companies will be creating the specific, managed solution.
I can see that, assuming models don't make some giant leap forward.
Your vision on the market for this is skewed by the fact that you're probably overpaid.
> 1. We pay for saas, so we don't have to manage it. If you vibe-code or use these AI things, then you are managing it yourself.
> 2. Most Saas is like $20-$100/month/person for most Saas. For a software engineer, that maybe <1h of pay.
Enterprise contracts almost always include a platform fee on top of per-seat costs (67% of contracts), plus professional services that add 12–18% of first-year revenue.So for a lot of companies, it's worth using AI to create a replacement.