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ergocodertoday at 6:46 PM3 repliesview on HN

Probably never. There are a couple reasons:

1. We pay for saas, so we don't have to manage it. If you vibe-code or use these AI things, then you are managing it yourself.

2. Most Saas is like $20-$100/month/person for most Saas. For a software engineer, that maybe <1h of pay.

3. Most Saas require some sort of human in the loop to check for quality (at least sampling). No users would want to do that.

Number 2 is the biggest reason. It's $20 a month.... I'm not gonna replace that with anything.

Writing this message already costs more than $20 of my time.

I predict that the market will get bigger because people are more prone to automate the long-tail/last-mile stuff since they are able to


Replies

alwillistoday at 8:28 PM

> 1. We pay for saas, so we don't have to manage it. If you vibe-code or use these AI things, then you are managing it yourself.

> 2. Most Saas is like $20-$100/month/person for most Saas. For a software engineer, that maybe <1h of pay.

    |Segment                   |Median Enterprise Price                   |
    |--------------------------|------------------------------------------|
    |Mid-market                |~$175/user/month                          |
    |Enterprise (<100 seats)   |~$470/seat/month implied (~$47K ACV)      |
    |Enterprise (100-500 seats)|~$312–$1,560/seat/month range (~$156K ACV)|

Enterprise contracts almost always include a platform fee on top of per-seat costs (67% of contracts), plus professional services that add 12–18% of first-year revenue.

So for a lot of companies, it's worth using AI to create a replacement.

show 2 replies
codinhoodtoday at 6:52 PM

Interesting, so you're saying Anthropic/Openai/etc will get a general solution that won't be hands off. The moat for other companies will be creating the specific, managed solution.

I can see that, assuming models don't make some giant leap forward.

spiderfarmertoday at 7:37 PM

Your vision on the market for this is skewed by the fact that you're probably overpaid.