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anonfunctionyesterday at 11:33 PM1 replyview on HN

What do you think of adding prediction market data to the indication? So basically there's this:

https://polymarket.com/event/strait-of-hormuz-traffic-return...

My approach would be if that jumps up to 75%+ it would change to YES. And if we get into May they have one for then too:

https://polymarket.com/event/strait-of-hormuz-traffic-return...

You can actually see in the last 24 hours it jumped up with the ceasefire and Iran saying they would open it and fell back with reports it's been shut down again easlier today.

Edit: I added this, I can see a few downvotes, happy to discuss here or in the github repo if anyone has strong feelings on it!


Replies

killingtime74today at 12:41 AM

i didnt downvote you but why wouldn't i just go to Polymarket directly for this

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