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stetraintoday at 5:01 AM1 replyview on HN

So the risk factor for Apollo could have actually been 1/1000 but they were just really unlucky?


Replies

d1sxeyestoday at 10:53 AM

If I toss a coin four times and it comes up heads three and tails once, it doesn’t mean that there’s a 75% chance that this coin lands heads up. Be careful about conflating risk factor and mortality rate.