> Personally, I would surprised if we are less than 3 years or more than 20 years from humans being obsolete.

I think we are as far from it as we were 10 years ago. Or 100 years ago. I think LLM is a deadend technology. Useful, but that won't get anywhere beyond what it is.

But that's the thing, "personally", "I think", etc. Not much of a debate to be had there.

AI making humans obsolete is not really something that causes me any anxiety.