alt Hacker NewsBefore I switched over the a career in tech, I made my living from music - playing live, session work, etc.
Honestly, I'm probably one of the biggest skeptics when it comes to GenAI - but at least for music, the recent models (as in the past year) do not suck. They are actually really, really good for what it is.
I have yet to hear anything truly original produced by those models. They seem to converge to the mean, and end up sounding very commercial, very average sounding - but in the sense of average "professional music". Suno can generate music which would have taken real people years to learn, thousands of dollars of equipment to make / produce, and pretty much ready for airplay - most listeners will not bat an eye.
Hell, these "AI artists" have been booked to festivals, since people can't hear the difference, and are enjoying the music.
I figure it will go the same way in other fields. The average consumer loses track of what's human made and what's AI made, and frankly won't care. The people "left behind" are the artists, craftspeople, etc. that are frustrated it came to this point.
Replies
> They seem to converge to the mean
I think that was the point being made; if you're looking at it from the perspective of being really good at something, its tendency towards an averaged result is substandard.
I think this probably says more about music in general and the long tail of people who think good enough is just spectacular, than to the brilliance of LLMs. Most music, just like most art, isn’t particularly original. It’s a shocker, I know, but there it is. Doesn’t mean it’s bad, just not particularly original.
Copying something that exists isn’t particularly difficult. It may require immense skill and incredible dexterity in the case of some musical instruments, but it doesn’t really require much more than time, patience and the ability to follow instructions. The blueprint already exists. With LLMs we now have the ability to skip the time and patience parts of the equation, we can produce mediocrity more or less instantly.
I don’t see this as particularly different from what happened at the turn of the last century and beyond, with machines being able to sow faster, carve wood and metals at a higher pace and precision, moving folks and goods between geographical points faster than ever before, etc. etc. It’s not much different from the IKEAs of the world making mediocre copies of brilliant designs, making fortunes selling to the large masses that think good enough is just great. Because honestly man, most of the time it probably is.
I’m not surprised people go to concerts to hear a recording made by an LLM either. People have been going to see DJs sling records for decades. It’s not the music, or the artist, it’s the community. Beyoncé is an amazing singer, but people don’t necessarily come to her shows to see just her, they come to see everyone else. They might say they want to see her, but they already have a thousand times in tickelitock and myfacespacebookgrams. They come to feel connected to something, to experience community.
LLMs are incredibly good at churning out stuff. Good stuff, bad stuff, just a ton of stuff. Nothing original but that’s ok, most things pre-LLMs weren’t either. We just have more of it now, and fewer trees. The creatives that are able to harness these tools will be able to do more with less. (Ostensibly at least, until the VC subsidies… subside.) Because they are creative they might be able to form an original idea and string together enough mediocrity to realize it. They’ll probably get drowned out in a sea of mediocre copies in the end, but that’s just the same as it always was. It’s just faster now.
The platform owners and hardware manufacturers will remain king until the technology can run on my TI calculator, maybe we’ll get there before the VC money runs out. No wonder Nvidia’s been killing it. Creativity and originality will return once this bubble bursts I’m sure, the world has this amazing ability to correct itself, even if violently so at times. Or we all die perhaps. Either way, all we can do I suppose is ride this wave of mediocrity into the sunset. :o)
Rather than an existential threat, I could see it becoming it's own genre rather than infecting every other genre - when in the future people collectively realise it's kinda bad but has it's place as an almost retro aesthetic.
Our idea of nostalgia was not that long ago. Also it could be generated on open weight local copyright free models that are super efficient in the future :P