alt Hacker NewsOne year before 1969 we had never been to the moon. In the 70s credible scientists and physicists predicted that large martian colonies would exist before the year 2000.
If a metric goes from 0 to 2 it doesn't mean it's on a long-lived exponential trajectory.
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1718627440 • yesterday at 9:51 PM
Even if there is a growth pattern that doesn't say how long it will continue. Some things can grow for a while and then hit a ceiling. Sometimes they are a fad that dies (when was the last time you bought a pet rock), sometimes everyone has one - you get a few sales of replacemets but no growth (you have a washing machine and won't buy another until the old wears out)