> Similarly, many senior software engineers are reporting 2-10x productivity increases.
But are they making 2-10x compensation compared to before these tools? If not, these tools are not really useful to you, they are useful to your employer. The most shocking thing I find about LLM-assisted development is how gleefully we are just handing all this value over to our employers, simultaneously believing that they are great because we're producing more. Totally bonkers!
> handing all this value over to our employers, simultaneously believing that they are great because we're producing more.
You could turn the table and say that you can now launch your own business with far fewer resources.
Who needs financial capital if you can do it all with solo / small team labor capital?
Gossip Goblin ditched his studio and now a16z is trying to throw him money, which he's turned down. He's turning everyone down.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-Rzl7nUdEs4
Dude is legit talented and doesn't need studio capital anymore.
This is the end of the Hollywood nepotism pyramid, where limited production capital was available to only a handful of directors.
We're kind of at the start of a revolution here. I'd be way more worried if I were Disney or Paramount.
Couldn't you take a sabbatical and end it with a brand new SaaS you own and control? That's entirely within reach now.
The people this is going to hurt are the ICs that don't have a go-getting type personality where they take full-stack ownership: marketing, branding, design, customer relationships, etc. If you can do those things, you're going to be a rock star with total autonomy.
You ought to see what the indie game devs are doing with AI (when they aren't getting yelled at on Steam by the haters). It's legitimately incredible. Game designers are taking on full-stack ownership over the entire experience, and they're making some incredible stuff.