We're talking about add-on services, and you were comparing to cloud providers and implying it doesn't really matter because vendor lock-in didn't really happen as feared. I made the case that it's the add-on services that create the lock-in.
> I’ve got by with paying for compute, network, and storage on the barebones services.
Yes, as I mentioned, that type of migration isn't difficult, which is akin to migrating to a different model provider, but that's not what we're discussing. You can't hand wave the issue away if you're not even talking about the the topic at hand.
That said, I agree with your suspicions of how it'll shake out in the end, because most businesses behave the same way, and always try and lock-in their customers.