They don't have enough compute for all their customers.

OpenAI bet on more compute early on which prompted people to say they're going to go bankrupt and collapse. But now it seems like it's a major strategic advantage. They're 2x'ing usage limits on Codex plans to steal CC customers and it seems to be working.

It seems like 90% of Claude's recent problems are strictly lack of compute related.

What I want to know is why my bedrock-backed Claude gets dumber along with commercial users. Surely they're not touching the bedrock model itself. Only thing I can think of is that updates to the harness are the main cause of performance degradation.

Usually they're hemorrhaging performance while training.

From that it's pretty likely they were training mythos for the last few weeks, and then distilling it to opus 4.7

Pure speculation of course, but would also explain the sudden performance gains for mythos - and why they're not releasing it to the general public (because it's the undistilled version which is too expensive to run)

Not to mention their recent integration of Persona ID verification - that was the last straw for me.

> This coming right after a noticeable downgrade just makes me think Opus 4.7 is going to be the same Opus i was experiencing a few months ago rather than actual performance boost.

If they are indeed doing this, I wonder how long they can keep it up?