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wg0last Thursday at 10:21 PM3 repliesview on HN

There's other side to it too.

Whoever running and selling their own models with inference is invested into the last dime available in the market.

Those valuations are already ridiculously high be it Anthropic or OpenAI to the tune of couple of trillion dollars easily if combind.

All that investment is seeking return. Correct me if I'm wrong.

Developers and software companies are the only serious users because they (mostly) review output of these models out of both culture and necessity.

Anywhere else? Other fields? There these models aren't any useful or as useful while revenue from software companies by no means going to bring returns to the trillion dollar valuations. Correct me if I'm wrong.

To make the matter worst, there's a hole in the bucket in form of open weight models. When squeezed further, software companies would either deploy open weight models or would resort to writing code by hand because that's a very skilled and hardworking tribe they've been doing this all their lives, whole careers are built on that. Correct me if I'm wrong.

Eventually - ROI might not be what VCs expect and constant losses might lead to bankruptcies and all that build out of data centers all of sudden would be looking for someone to rent that compute capacity result of which would be dime a dozen open weight model providers with generous usage tiers to capitalize on that available compute capacity owners of which have gone bankrupt and can't use it any more wanting to liquidate it as much as possible to recoup as much investment as possible.

EDIT: Typos


Replies

christkvlast Friday at 6:14 AM

It feels like a repeat of the dot com infrastructure buildup that spurred the whole 2005 explosion in affordable hosting and new companies. This will probably leave us massive access to affordable compute in a couple of years.

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solenoid0937last Friday at 5:57 AM

OpenAI has an absurdly high valuation given their cash burn vs RRR.

Anthropic's is far more reasonable.

It makes no sense to lump these two companies together when talking about valuation. They have completely different financial dynamics

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classifiedlast Friday at 12:18 PM

> would resort to writing code by hand because that's a very skilled and hardworking tribe they've been doing this all their lives

Shush, don't tell that to the AI coding acolytes.