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socalgal2yesterday at 11:20 PM1 replyview on HN

How can I evalutate if this is a real issue for cherry picked. Someone won the lotto last week. They must have had insider knowledge! Oh, no, I forgot to look at all the people who didn't pick a winner.

> Sixteen bets made $100,000 each accurately predicting the timing of the US airstrikes against Iran on 27 February

How many bets and for what ammounts were made for other days, or that it wouldn't happen on the 27th?


Replies

dublinstatsyesterday at 11:45 PM

Yes I would have liked to see some more intelligent analysis and statistical justification. This article is just outrage-bait for common consumption.