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gjsman-1000yesterday at 5:11 PM6 repliesview on HN

0.82% of homes are burglarized every year.

Meaning since 2015, you’ve got an 8.2% chance of having someone walk out with that box. Hopefully there’s nothing precious on it.


Replies

jimberlageyesterday at 5:16 PM

Assuming that all homes are at equal risk of being burglarized. In practice the neighborhoods I’ve seen are either at much higher risk or much lower risk.

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FreePalestine1yesterday at 5:14 PM

They didn't imply the box was at their home and that probability is off

zuzululuyesterday at 6:06 PM

I definitely do not keep it at home but the thought has crossed me for smaller less demanding boxes.

burnteyesterday at 5:13 PM

If they have good backuos, no worries. Mine is in a locked colo cage in a datacenter, so I'm not worried either.

loloquwowndueoyesterday at 5:47 PM

That’s not how probabilities work.

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0123456789ABCDEyesterday at 5:29 PM

yes, this is indeed how probability works. thanks.

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