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ahartmetzyesterday at 8:46 PM1 replyview on HN

If they don't expand capacity much, the only negative consequences I foresee happening for them is that they might lose spending discipline, and that systems will be set up to make do with a little less memory. Apart from that, it's just very high profits followed by more or less regular profits.


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XorNotyesterday at 9:52 PM

They could wind up losing all their business to China though.

China has memory makers who are creeping up through the stages of production maturity, and once they hit then there's no going back.

If the existing makers can't meet supply such that Chinese exports get their foot in the door, they may find they never get ahead again due to volume - that domestic market is huge so they have scale, and the gaming market isn't going to care because they get anything at the moment, which is all you'll need for enterprise to say "are we really afraid of memory in this business?"

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