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tptacekyesterday at 8:55 PM2 repliesview on HN

In the last month there has been a sharp vibe shift among cryptography engineers based on rumors that we may have demonstrations of CRQCs much sooner than anticipated, perhaps within 5 years. You're not going to get satisfactory answers beyond that; everybody understands the "factored 15" thing, the people for whom the vibe has shifted have priced that in.


Replies

kasey_junkyesterday at 10:10 PM

It’s coming from everywhere all at once. Is there a prediction market on timing yet (literally one of the only useful things I can think of for the damnable casinos).

I’ve seen so much change so fast my assumption is someone did it already and preprints are making the rounds.