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jfengelyesterday at 10:07 PM2 repliesview on HN

A general war against China is impossible. But a "limited" war fought over Taiwan isn't beyond the realm of possibility.

Which does take it into a kind of Schroedinger's realm. The US takes it seriously, so it develops technology for it, and China doesn't invade. But would China have invaded if the US hadn't prepared for that war? Quite possibly, but you can never know.


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0cf8612b2e1eyesterday at 10:29 PM

In the quite likely scenario that Iran goes on any longer, the US will become so war exhausted that we will be unable to provide any support for Taiwan.

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