alt Hacker NewsWhat does "fully caught up" mean in the context of an ever evolving technology? I think I'm in support of open weight models (though there are safety implications), but these things aren't cheap to train and run. This fact alone gives no incentive for leading labs to release cutting edge open weight models. Why spend the money then give the product for free?
Now if "fully caught up" means today's level of intelligence is available for free in two years, by then that level of intelligence means very little
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Yeah I don't understand it, it's a marathon with three companies perpetually a minute ahead, and people keep saying "I expect the stragglers to catch up".
The only thing I can see them meaning is what you said, "in a minute the stragglers will be where the leaders were a minute ago", which, yeah, sure.
It’s never free your shifting costs from paying a company for their api use vs the power costs of running it locally.